Posted February 14, 2025

The Liberals have the wind at their backs

As 2024 came to an end, Canada’s Liberals faced grim prospects. Dozens of MPs, including many ministers had resigned or indicated that they would not be offering for the 2025 election.

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Justin Trudeau’s departure is a blessing for Canada, but the resulting Liberal leadership race comes at a most inconvenient time.

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Trudeau and the Liberals were painfully aware of the deteriorating support for him and the party. The January 5th report from poll aggregator 338 had the Conservatives leading the Liberals by 25%.

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Former Finance Minster Chrystia Freeland had to choose a response. The Prime Minister had told her that she would no longer be Minister of Finance and would be replaced by former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney. Would she accept the demotion, and if not how would she respond? Her resignation letter response was a bombshell with implications affecting all of the political parties.

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Former Liberal leader Zach Churchill’s swan song included a plea for changes to the electoral process, noting that his party had 23% of the vote but received less than 4% of the seats.

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